The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 23-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 31-18 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-2, 3.48 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 3-1, 2.43 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.40 Units / 59% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+18.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+17.55 Units / 60% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+17.20 Units / 96% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+16.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.34 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-26 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -10.35% ROI).

• 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -5.79% ROI
• 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 6.69% ROI
• 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -15.83% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 31-18 against the Run Line (+9.74 Units / 14.39% ROI).

• 30-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 21.26% ROI
• 18-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -24.01% ROI
• 28-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 15.72% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .315 vs right-handed batters (third worst)– third Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Casey Mize — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/68) against Casey Mize this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .315 vs right-handed batters (fourth worst)– third Percentile and just .169 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among non-qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has allowed an OBP of just .154 (39 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 99th Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 28 of 204 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .765 (13 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .391 — third Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of just .293 (39 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 99th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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