Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 21
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 21

The Seattle Mariners (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Mariners are 26-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 27-22 ATS.

Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 1-0, 0.93 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-1, 2.49 ERA

Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dominic Canzone has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+11.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+15.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.99 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+10.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 24-24 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -5.04% ROI).

  • 26-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -1.26% ROI
  • 17-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -26.27% ROI
  • 28-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 16.56% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 27-22 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 13.36% ROI).

  • 33-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 14.52% ROI
  • 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -17.82% ROI
  • 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 9.13% ROI

Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +250 0.5 -300
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clarke Schmidt (NYY) 6.5 -130 6.5 +100
Bryan Woo (SEA) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (1,159/1,589) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.1 innings pitched — Ryan Yarbrough has the longest active streak at 18.1.

Bryan Woo has spotted his fastball inside for a strike 74% (312/421) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo had a strike rate of 76% (60/79) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clarke Schmidt has struck out 34% (34/101) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has walked 9 of 81 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (45/143) against Clarke Schmidt this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .373 (19-for-51) against Clarke Schmidt when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — third Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
Read Full Article