The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Brewers are 27-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 19-27 ATS.

Brewers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 3-1, 3.45 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 1-4, 7.62 ERA

Brewers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.70 Units / 274% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+19.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+16.55 Units / 69% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 44 games (+21.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+17.75 Units / 93% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+14.40 Units / 31% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+11.59 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 24-21 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.24% ROI).

• 27-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 17.78% ROI
• 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 15.3% ROI
• 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -23.16% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 19-27 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -14.47% ROI).

• 20-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -20.78% ROI
• 17-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -22.39% ROI
• 26-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 14.31% ROI

Astros vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 10% (6/62) against Colin Rea when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (12 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (39/196) against Colin Rea this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 16% (30 SO in 191 PAs) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.371 (34 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .716 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Spencer Arrighetti’s elevated fastball this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .212 — second Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .588 (34 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Arrighetti has an ERA of 7.52 (26.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 3.80 — second Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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