The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Saturday, May 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Red Sox are 22-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 21-23 ATS.

Red Sox vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-2, 2.24 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 3-5, 6.24 ERA

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+26.80 Units / 179% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 52% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-25 against the Run Line (-9.65 Units / -15.59% ROI).

• 22-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -5.15% ROI
• 16-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -26.84% ROI
• 27-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 18.78% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 21-23 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -7.17% ROI).

• 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -16.95% ROI
• 19-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -13.51% ROI
• 23-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 5% ROI

Cardinals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (16/66) against Kutter Crawford this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (13/49) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (189/409) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (13/49) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .312 (111-for-356) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .283 (26-for-92) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has walked 11 of 378 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .345 (38-for-110) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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