The Detroit Tigers (-145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Tigers are 21-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-24 ATS.

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 5-0, 2.02 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-2, 5.33 ERA

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+16.40 Units / 86% ROI)
• Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.55 Units / 66% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+16.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 58% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.95 Units / 61% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 26 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 44 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 19-24 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -10.62% ROI).

• 21-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -6.5% ROI
• 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.84% ROI
• 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -7.42% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-24 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -12.22% ROI).

• 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -8.78% ROI
• 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -17.7% ROI
• 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 9.75% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of .778 (14 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 74% (167/225) in two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .167 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .299 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .353 (104-for-295) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has an ERA of 7.79 (69.1 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4.07 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .610 (180 Total Bases / 295 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .343 (37-for-108) against Ryne Nelson this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
Read Full Article