The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Twins are 24-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 26-18 ATS.

Twins vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 1-0, 3.29 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 2-3, 3.49 ERA

Twins vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+30.70 Units / 341% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+15.75 Units / 64% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.00 Units / 61% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 39% ROI)
• Alex Kirilloff has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 33 games (+29.20 Units / 88% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 43 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.15 Units / 53% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.82 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 22-21 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI).

• 24-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.09% ROI
• 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -4.1% ROI
• 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -4.44% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 26-18 against the Run Line (+9.45 Units / 17.28% ROI).

• 27-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.82 Units / 13.56% ROI
• 22-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• 20-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -8.51% ROI

Guardians vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (9/36) against Simeon Woods Richardson in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Simeon Woods Richardson’s changeup this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (6/22) against Simeon Woods Richardson — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (8/29) against Simeon Woods Richardson — tied for 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitless in 21 AB’s against Triston McKenzie with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .180 — 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 8 of 71 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 12 of 72 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 24 of 176 batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
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