The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Royals are 25-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 21-21 ATS.

Royals vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 2-4, 5.16 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 3-1, 2.96 ERA

Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 24 games (+18.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+18.45 Units / 77% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.85 Units / 53% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.40 Units / 48% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+15.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Mitch Garver has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 26-17 against the Run Line (+6.34 Units / 10.65% ROI).

• 25-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 16.18% ROI
• 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -22.61% ROI
• 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 14.01% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 21-21 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -3.91% ROI).

• 23-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.96% ROI
• 14-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -32.06% ROI
• 26-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.2 Units / 22.3% ROI

Mariners vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .359 (23-for-64) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 53% of the time (105/200) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has recorded 14 of his 23 strikeouts (61%) vs left-handed batters with his changeup this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 53% of the time (105/200) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .243 (358 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .133 (4-for-30) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .321 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (43/125) against Logan Gilbert this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .204 (69-for-339) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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