The Houston Astros (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Astros are 14-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 18-20 ATS.

Astros vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 2-0, 1.54 ERA
• Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 4-0, 1.90 ERA

Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 37 games (+20.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+18.65 Units / 155% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.40 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+20.40 Units / 136% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 52% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 99 games (+12.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 14-24 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -21.35% ROI).

• 14-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -32.39% ROI
• 13-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -28.61% ROI
• 23-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.65 Units / 20.4% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 18-20 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -6.81% ROI).

• 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.66% ROI
• 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -4.08% ROI
• 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -5% ROI

Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .168 (95-for-565) against Cristian Javier since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (46/229) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (37/186) against Cristian Javier when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (80/364) against Cristian Javier since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 76% (147/194) in two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 76% (147/194) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .210 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .083 (5 Total Bases / 60 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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