The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Orioles are 23-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 22-13 ATS.

Orioles vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-0, 1.93 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 2-1, 2.53 ERA

Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 29 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+15.35 Units / 84% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 away games (+11.75 Units / 73% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+24.50 Units / 188% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+15.30 Units / 44% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+14.85 Units / 24% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 130 games (+25.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 61 away games (+17.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 41 away games (+16.97 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+14.56 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 20-15 against the Run Line (+8.3 Units / 20% ROI).

• 23-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 7.72% ROI
• 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.82% ROI
• 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -9.59% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 22-13 against the Run Line (+7.58 Units / 16.69% ROI).

• 18-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 30.24% ROI
• 15-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -12.29% ROI
• 18-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.38 Units / 3.56% ROI

Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 27 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 10.

Kyle Bradish has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (693/1,199) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .153 (9-for-59) against Kyle Bradish in late innings since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitchell Parker has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 50.0.

Mitchell Parker has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike 76% (78/103) of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 99th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has a strike rate of 69% (220/319) this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/49) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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