Giants vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5
Giants vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Giants are 15-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 17-17 ATS.

Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 3-2, 2.98 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 1-0, 8.53 ERA

Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+16.40 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+18.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 31 games (+13.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-18 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -8.03% ROI).

  • 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -19.43% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -9.58% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.66% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 17-17 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.36% ROI).

  • 23-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 14.04% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -9.95% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.66% ROI

Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Brandon Marsh (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (314/1,023) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (687/1,899) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (80/134) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (370/787) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 56 of Taijuan Walker’s 318 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 99 of Taijuan Walker’s 463 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 139 of Taijuan Walker’s 705 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 58% (471/807) in two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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