The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Braves are 20-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 17-18 ATS.

Braves vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 3.98 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 3-0, 3.51 ERA

Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.40 Units / 63% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+13.50 Units / 84% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.45 Units / 62% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 66% ROI)
• Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 91% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-16 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).

• 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 4.51% ROI
• 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -19% ROI
• 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 11.35% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 17-18 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -7.72% ROI).

• 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -4.15% ROI
• 19-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 6.81% ROI
• 15-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -15.3% ROI

Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (62/92) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.0 MPH this season (54 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.0 MPH (54 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 82% (23/28) against Max Fried — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

James Paxton has walked 22 of 114 batters (19%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 20 of 94 right-handed batters (21%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 12 of 44 batters (27%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 25% (15 SO in 61 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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