The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+105) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Brewers are 20-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 22-12 ATS.

Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-0, 3.24 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 2-0, 1.97 ERA

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 21 games (+23.00 Units / 110% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+17.80 Units / 99% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+16.65 Units / 278% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+12.25 Units / 81% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 17-15 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -2.28% ROI).

• 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 24.58% ROI
• 19-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 14.8% ROI
• 13-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -22.05% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 22-12 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 15.41% ROI).

• 20-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 17.13% ROI
• 15-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -15.82% ROI
• 19-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 7.11% ROI

Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (36/84) against Freddy Peralta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (57-for-294) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has struck out 39% (27/69) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 41% (22 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .272 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .102 (5-for-49) against Javier Assad when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .210 (138 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Javier Assad when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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