The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Guardians are 19-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 10-19 ATS.

Guardians vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 2-2, 4.84 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 1-0, 1.74 ERA

Guardians vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+18.10 Units / 95% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.90 Units / 97% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+16.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+15.80 Units / 144% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 134 games (+14.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 66 of their last 118 games (+7.21 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 20-9 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 31.91% ROI).

• 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.97 Units / 23.59% ROI
• 16-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 12.36% ROI
• 11-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -20.72% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 10-19 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -25.6% ROI).

• 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.25 Units / -36.03% ROI
• 9-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -33.07% ROI
• 18-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 24.85% ROI

Astros vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Triston McKenzie has walked 9 of 45 batters (20%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .239 (205 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 17 of 102 batters (17%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (21/67) against Triston McKenzie this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .266 (162 Total Bases / 610 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .503 (661 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .575 (1,376 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Justin Verlander with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 3rd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — 96th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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