The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Reds are 15-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 14-17 ATS.

Reds vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-1, 5.48 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 0-1, 4.19 ERA

Reds vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+18.40 Units / 97% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 79% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.40 Units / 192% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.20 Units / 68% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI).

• 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 2.32% ROI
• 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 5.02% ROI
• 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -15.28% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-17 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -3.47% ROI).

• 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -12.87% ROI
• 16-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.99% ROI
• 14-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -11.08% ROI

Padres vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (55/83) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider since the 2022 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 35% of Nick Martinez’s breaking pitches (236/667) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (14-for-34) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since last season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .269 — sixth Percentile.

Nick Martinez has a strikeout rate of just 17% (49 SO in 281 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 13th lowest among among 133 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (6/25) against Yu Darvish in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 48% of the time (257/536) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (23/32) against Yu Darvish on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (9/35) against Yu Darvish this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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