The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+125) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Braves are 19-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 13-15 ATS.

Braves vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 4.91 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-2, 2.25 ERA

Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.20 Units / 203% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.50 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
• Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 13-13 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.5% ROI).

• 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 13.08% ROI
• 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -11.36% ROI
• 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 3.32% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 13-15 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -7.52% ROI).

• 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -5.81% ROI
• 6-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -54.03% ROI
• 20-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 44.93% ROI

Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 80.0 MPH (43 batted balls) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 80.0 MPH this season (43 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 89.0

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (23/30) against Max Fried — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (53/81) against Max Fried this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (27/70) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (70/227) against Bryce Miller since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .113 (6 Total Bases / 53 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .271 — 97th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
Read Full Article