The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 17-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 14-15 ATS.

Phillies vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-0, 1.42 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 3-1, 1.82 ERA

Phillies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+10.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+15.50 Units / 111% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 65% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 58% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 13-14 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -2.77% ROI).

• 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 7.04% ROI
• 11-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -18.92% ROI
• 15-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 9.06% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 14-15 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 2.2% ROI).

• 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -6.56% ROI
• 15-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 3.19% ROI
• 13-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -11.56% ROI

Padres vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.9 MPH (61 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.8 — 100th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.9 MPH this season (61 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.8

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of 83% (69/83) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 69% — 100th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .430 (118 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 98th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

6 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .198 (111 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .019 (1-for-52) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .103 (58 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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