The Cleveland Guardians (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Guardians are 18-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 13-11 ATS.

Guardians vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-0, 4.50 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 2-0, 4.84 ERA

Guardians vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+20.00 Units / 500% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 95% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 75% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+13.20 Units / 264% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+13.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 135 games (+15.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 17-9 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 26.96% ROI).

• 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.52 Units / 27.18% ROI
• 15-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
• 9-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -26.22% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 7.72% ROI).

• 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 15.38% ROI
• 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -3.8% ROI
• 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -3.97% ROI

Braves vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .409 (9-for-22) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (18/75) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has walked 6 of 29 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since the 2022 season is 383.2 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 398.4

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (291/801) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (1,386/3,208) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (249/736) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 58 of 581 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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