Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 22
Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 22

The New York Mets (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Mets are 12-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 9-14 ATS.

Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-1, 3.05 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 1-3, 4.09 ERA

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jose Butto has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Jose Butto has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Logan Webb has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.35 Units / 69% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-9 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 20.98% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 13.63% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 9.89% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -18.76% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 9-14 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -21.72% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -21.6% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 13.2% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -21.64% ROI

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (217/380) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (28/78 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (191/333) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 44% (55/125) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keaton Winn has a strikeout rate of just 6% (2 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (34/60) against Keaton Winn this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.

Keaton Winn has struck out just 12% (6/50) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Keaton Winn versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .210 — 97th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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