Rangers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20
Rangers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20

The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Rangers are 11-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-9 ATS.

Rangers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rangers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Evan Carter has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jared Walsh has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Max Fried has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 46% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 89 of their last 161 games (+23.78 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 94 of their last 161 games (+18.53 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 10-11 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -10.62% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.8% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.11% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -9.96% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.97% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 11.01% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 23.27% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -30.67% ROI

Braves vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Braves vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Braves vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Braves vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a .518 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .226 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (54/371) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (53/335) against Nathan Eovaldi since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has induced opposing hitters to ground into 4 double plays in 14 opportunities (29%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (239/711) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 95th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (279/777) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 57 of 572 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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