Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20
Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 20

The Baltimore Orioles (-135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Orioles are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 13-7 ATS.

Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 16 away games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 147 games (+29.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 71 away games (+24.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 69 away games (+19.47 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 away games (+14.61 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 11-8 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 26.15% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 9.52% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 29.91% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -39.36% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 13-7 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 16.1% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 25.15% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -29.17% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 21.83% ROI

Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Nelson Velazquez (KC) 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (15/23) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (170/285) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (338/521) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (14/23) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (58/159) against Cole Ragans this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (58/159) against Cole Ragans this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (27/73) against Cole Ragans this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (63/189) against Cole Ragans this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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