The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Angels are 9-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 9-10 ATS.
Angels vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Angels vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Matt Thaiss has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.55 Units / 84% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 11-9 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -1.69% ROI).
- 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -5.57% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -5.67% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -5.47% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 9-10 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -11.91% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.21% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 19.48% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -30.12% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has walked 39 of 288 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an OBP of .395 (281 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .314 — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has not allowed a home run in any of the last 25.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 45.1.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 24 of 171 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a just .171 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for fifth best)– 96th Percentile and .611 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among non-qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (14-for-48) against Graham Ashcraft — 8th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .227 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (14-for-48) against Graham Ashcraft over the last 14 days — 5th highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.