With only a few Mondays remaining in the MLB season, we only have a few more opportunities for our NRFI bets. Let’s take a look at the best bets for the day!
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
2022 has been a breakout season for Merrill Kelly, with a 3.01 ERA thus far across 179 innings. He did not have a major change in strikeouts or walks, but the improvement seems to be tied to his ability to limit homers. The interesting thing for Kelly, however, is that he seems to struggle early in games relative to the rest of the game. His wOBA allowed the first time through the order is 0.314 compared to around 0.255 the second and third time through. There are few, if any, offenses with a better top third of the lineup than the Dodgers, but I do believe Kelly can overcome his weaknesses and make it through the first unscathed.
The game will be started by Clayton Kershaw, who, despite his injuries and age, he has not slipped up at all in terms of skillset. His 2.44 ERA is one of the best of his career, and he is continuing to generate tons of Ks while limiting walks. This Diamondbacks offense has improved a ton lately and is actually one of the better offenses in the league over the last 30 days. Still, Kershaw is a generational talent continuing to pitch at an extremely high level. He should easily hold up his end of the bargain.