Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The New York Mets (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Mets are 10-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 9-12 ATS.

Mets vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 1-1, 4.40 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1-1, 4.41 ERA

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+12.95 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chris Taylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 145 games (+17.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 10-8 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 19.76% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 5.69% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.85% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -5.22% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 9-12 against the Run Line (-4.94 Units / -20.24% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -16.42% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.32 Units / 14.26% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -21.29% ROI

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (37/180) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 8th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (222/453) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has a strike rate of just 53% (37/70) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (73/252) against Sean Manaea since last season — tied for 6th highest among in NL; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 26% of the time (16/62) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (49/146) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 35% (11/31) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (54/184) in non-two strike counts this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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