The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-165) on Thursday, April 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 9-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-12 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 1-2, 5.27 ERA
• Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 1-1, 3.81 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 away games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-9 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 4.68% ROI).

• 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -13.06% ROI
• 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -10.28% ROI
• 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 2.2% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 7-12 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -27.56% ROI).

• 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -23.82% ROI
• 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 11.86% ROI
• 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -19.81% ROI

Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson has struck out just 14% (45/333) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Ryne Nelson struck out just 14% (42/304) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Ryne Nelson had a strikeout rate of just 32% (96/305) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (28/64) against Ryne Nelson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (287/640) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (428/696) against Logan Webb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (959/2,490) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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