Reds vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17
Reds vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17

The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Reds are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 7-11 ATS.

Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-1, 2.60 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 2-1, 1.97 ERA

Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -12.07% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 33.42% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -44.47% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -20.63% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -17.35% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -30.56% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 21.86% ROI

Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Will Benson (CIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ty France (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jonathan India (CIN) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Abbott (CIN) 5.5 -150 5.5 +110
Bryce Miller (SEA) 6.5 +120 6.5 -160

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 30% (11 SO in 37 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (27/121) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 15% (3 SO in 20 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — sixth Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season — seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP– 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season — tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– seventh Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Bryce Miller this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (68/215) against Bryce Miller since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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