Reds vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16
Reds vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Reds are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 6-11 ATS.

Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 4.86 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-0, 2.66 ERA

Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Mitch Garver has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Mitch Garver has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.56% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.05% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 42.49% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -52.71% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 6-11 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -28.79% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -23.36% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -26.08% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 17.72% ROI

Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan India (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jake Fraley (CIN) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Greene (CIN) 7.5 -150 7.5 +115
Logan Gilbert (SEA) 7.5 +115 7.5 -150

68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown inside pitches 58% of the time (40/69) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has had second base stolen on him 5 times this season — tied for most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (193/557) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 45% (19/42) against Logan Gilbert this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 66% (23 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (31/53) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.

Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 66% (23 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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