Braves vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16
Braves vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16

The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Braves are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 6-12 ATS.

Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 1-0, 0.77 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-2, 16.45 ERA

Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+6.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jon Singleton has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jon Singleton has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Victor Caratini has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 73% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 147 games (+16.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -6.84% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 2.41% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 33.94% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -42.12% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 6-12 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -21.99% ROI).

  • 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -39.82% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI

Astros vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Astros vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Astros vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190

Astros vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 4.5 -120 4.5 -105
Hunter Brown (HOU) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — second Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 27 of 153 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — first Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has allowed a BABIP of .583 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .300 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (23-for-46) against Hunter Brown this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .571 (12-for-21) against Hunter Brown’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .566 (53 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .318 — 0 Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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