On Wednesday, Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund clash in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal, and we have our Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction based on the best Champions League odds.
Borussia Dortmund's solid five-match winning streak came to a crashing halt with a 1-0 setback against Stuttgart on April 6. However, that result probably won't phase them as they get amped up for what should be a somewhat daunting visit to the Metropolitano Stadium.
The Metropolitano can be off-putting for even the most experienced teams. Atletico Madrid boasts the second-best home record in La Liga, taking 40 from 45 points, second only to Real Madrid's 41.
Atletico has maintained a perfect record at the Metropolitano Stadium in the Champions League, winning all four matches and outscoring their opponents 13-3. Meanwhile, Dortmu nd's away record in the competition includes two wins, one loss, and one draw. They are currently undefeated in their last three away matches. The sole away defeat came against PSG with a 2-0 loss during the group stage.
Dortmund faces a tough challenge against Atletico Madrid in a crucial Champions League fixture, and the matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter between two top-tier European clubs.
Accompanying our Real Madrid vs. Man City, Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich, and PSG vs. Barcelona predictions, here is our best Atletico vs. Dortmund prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund game info
- Date: Wednesday, April 10 at 3 p.m. ET
- TV: Paramount+
- Location: Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid, Spain
- Weather: 64 degrees, sunny
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Odds via bet365
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | -125 | -0.5 (-140) | Over 2.5 (-106) |
| Borussia Dortmund | +350 | +0.5 (+100) | Under 2.5 (-118) |
Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction
Atletico is one of the best defensive teams in Europe in pivotal contests, particularly when playing in front of their feverish supporters at Metropolitano Stadium. Diego Simeone's side allowed a goal against Inter Milan in their last Champions League home encounter, which ended level at one after 90 minutes. They kept a clean sheet in the previous encounter against Lazio, winning 2-0. Atletico has allowed just three goals in four home 2023-24 Champions League contests, and the Under hit in the Spanish side's last three Champions League matches.
Three of Dortmund's previous matches in all competitions have seen two or fewer goals, including their last Champions League contest, a 2-0 home victory over PSV Eindhoven. Edin Terzic's side scored two or fewer goals in three of their four away Champions League contests.
Best odds: -118 via bet365
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Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund odds analysis
Of our best sports betting apps, bet365 and FanDuel offer the best value at -118. DraftKings comes in just behind, offering -120. BetMGM and Caesars offer the shortest odds and least value at -125.
A winning $10 bet at FanDuel or bet365's -118 odds will pay out a total of $18.47 and imply a 54.13% probability. The line will probably lengthen slightly at FanDuel and bet365 in the lead-up to kick-off.
An appealing alternative bet combines an Atletico Madrid win and Under 2.5 goals, trading at +290. A winning $10 bet at those odds would result in a $29 profit. The accompanying implied probability is 25.64%.
Atleti co Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction made Thursday at 6 p.m. ET.
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