The Miami Marlins (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Marlins are 1-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 7-4 ATS.

Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: A.J. Puk 0-2, 9.54 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 0-0, 2.80 ERA

Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 50% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 64% ROI)
• Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 1-10 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -82.27% ROI).

• 1-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -83.01% ROI
• 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 40.17% ROI
• 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -47.76% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-4 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 27.76% ROI).

• 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 51.31% ROI
• 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -40.48% ROI
• 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 32.05% ROI

Yankees vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of 49% (34/70) against A.J. Puk on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk has walked 9 of 35 batters (26%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

A.J. Puk’s K:BB ratio was 14.5 (29/2) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.4 — 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk struck out 38% (29/76) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Rodon has allowed an OPS of 1.067 (24 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .459 — first Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (13 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (13 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Carlos Rodon this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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