PSG and Barcelona meet at the Parc des Princes in Paris on Wednesday for the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal, and we have our PSG vs. Barcelona prediction and best bet based on the top Champions League odds.
The comparatively inferior Ligue 1 is a blessing and curse for PSG. They are 10 points clear of Brest atop the standings, allowing Luis Enrique to place a heightened focus on Barcelona and the Champions League, a competition PSG has yet to win. A palpable absence of elite domestic competition, however, has probably prevented them from ascending to the level required to win Europe's most highly competitive club competition.
Barcelona is playing its best football of the season after a shaky start. On an 11-match unbeaten run in all competitions, the Spanish giants are rounding into top form. There is a cautionary tale where Barcelona and Paris are concerned: In 2016-17, Barcelona lost 4-0 in Paris before famously overturning the deficit at home in the second leg. Expect a different script for this one.
Accompanying our Real Madrid vs. Man. City and Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich predictions, here are our best PSG vs. Barcelona prediction and soccer picks (odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
PSG vs. Barcelona game info
- Date: Wednesday, April 10, 3 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS and Paramount+
- Location: Parcs des Princes, Paris, France
- Weather: 54 degrees and sunny
- Favorite: PSG (+100)
PSG vs. Barcelona odds
Odds via DraftKings
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | +100 | -0.5 (-110) | Over 2.5 (-150) |
| Barcelona | +265 | +0.5 (-125) | Under 2.5 (+120) |
PSG vs. Barcelona prediction
Let's not ignore that these two powerhouses, with more firepower than most rogue militias, can fill the net faster than an overzealous 40-year-old coach in a training drill against an eight-year-old goalkeeper. However, it's the quarterfinal of the Champions League, where time and space are at a premium. Only two of the eight matches in both legs from last season's quarterfinals had more than two goals.
PSG hasn't scored more than two goals in their previous three matches. Two of those three contests were against comparative minnows Clermont Foot and Rennes. The other, a 2-0 triumph, was against Marseille, the 8th-place team in Ligue 1.
While Barcelona has been scoring more often recently, netting three tallies in two of their previous three games, they have yet to face an intimidating atmosphere like Parc des Princes this season. Neither t eam can afford to make a mistake, which should lean toward the Under.
Best odds: +120 via DraftKings
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PSG vs. Barcelona odds analysis
At +120, DraftKings and FanDuel offer the best value for Under 2.5 goals. A winning $10 wager will pay out $22, $12 in profit. Those +120 odds imply a probability of 45.45% via our odds converter.
Of our other best sports betting apps, bet365 offers +115 odds, while Caesars and BetMGM offer +110. It would be better to place the wager as soon as possible, as DraftKings may lengthen its odds marginally in the lead-up to kickoff.
PSG vs. Barcelona prediction made Monday at 4:15 p.m. ET.
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