The Miami Marlins (+130) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Marlins are 1-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 6-4 ATS.

Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-1, 4.50 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 0-1, 6.31 ERA

Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 96% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 56% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 1-9 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -80.22% ROI).

• 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -81.59% ROI
• 8-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.95 Units / 55.09% ROI
• 2-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -61.16% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 6-4 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 19.54% ROI).

• 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 49.37% ROI
• 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -34.5% ROI
• 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 25.82% ROI

Yankees vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

40% of Jesus Luzardo’s called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th best among in NL; League Avg: .171 — 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (28/82) against Jesus Luzardo this season — tied for 13th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has a strike rate of just 51% (39/77) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (14/77) against Nestor Cortes this season — 7th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 27% — 12th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has a strikeout rate of just 15% (7 SO in 46 PAs) this season — 8th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 24% — 14th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (47/177) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .310 (13-for-42) against Nestor Cortes this season — 9th highest among in AL; League Avg: .230 — 16th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
Read Full Article