Mets vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 8
Mets vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 8

The New York Mets (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 4-4 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Julio Teheran 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Luis Guillorme has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.35 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -51.43% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -40.64% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -36.22% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 26.5% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 4-4 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 17.27% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 32.18% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -39.89% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marte 0.5 +875 0.5 -1600
Lindor 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Baty 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600
Bader 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000
Olson 0.5 +275 0.5 -350

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Morton 6.5 +120 6.5 -155
Teheran 3.5 +135 3.5 -175

No Matchup notes for this Game

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,319/2,939) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (1,458/4,133) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton threw his curveball 36% of the time (253/706) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton threw his curveball 43% of the time (1,227/2,842) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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