The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+130) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Phillies are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 3-5 ATS.

Phillies vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 0-0, 3.60 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 0-0, 5.07 ERA

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 away games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+8.55 Units / 130% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.60 Units / 110% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• Josiah Gray has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 89% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 94% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -5.56% ROI).

• 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -9.44% ROI
• 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI
• 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 3-5 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -35.98% ROI).

• 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -39.13% ROI
• 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 18.75% ROI
• 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -28.98% ROI

Nationals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (14/107) against Cristopher Sanchez on changeups since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (162/281) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 64% (83/129) against Cristopher Sanchez on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (85/134) against Cristopher Sanchez on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

MacKenzie Gore walked 22 of 168 batters (13%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 36% (65/180) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore had a strikeout rate of 32% (37/115) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has walked 33 of 267 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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