The New York Mets (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Mets are 2-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 4-4 ATS.

Mets vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-0, 3.38 ERA

Mets vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 74% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 68% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 59% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 156 games (+19.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games at home (+5.48 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 1-7 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -71.58% ROI).

• 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -55.9% ROI
• 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -28.16% ROI
• 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 18.54% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 4-4 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 3.13% ROI).

• 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 17.14% ROI
• 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 42.37% ROI
• 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -52.57% ROI

Reds vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 10% (1/10) against Sean Manaea this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (33/163) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (32/160) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 7th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — ninth Percentile.

Sean Manaea allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (27 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .410 — fourth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (22/109) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (44/162) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (11/50) against Andrew Abbott on low breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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