The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-175) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Padres are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-5 ATS.

Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 0-1, 9.01 ERA
• Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 0-1, 6.52 ERA

Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+17.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+12.70 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.35 Units / 65% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 5-6 against the Run Line (+0.62 Units / 5.09% ROI).

• 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.81 Units / -13.16% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.43 Units / -3.52% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-5 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -26.52% ROI).

• 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -31.94% ROI
• 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 49.24% ROI
• 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -58% ROI

Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has allowed at least one HR in each of his last nine games dating back to June 24th, 2023 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Matt Waldron has allowed a BABIP of .615 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (9-for-21) against Matt Waldron this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .242 — second Percentile.

Matt Waldron has allowed an OPS of 1.121 (22 PA’s) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .701 — third Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (389/619) against Logan Webb in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb threw his changeup 48% of the time (465/963) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb threw his changeup 45% of the time (260/575) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb threw his changeup 42% of the time (1,323/3,182) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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