The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Blue Jays are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-3 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-0, 2.08 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-0, 5.07 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+7.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.70 Units / 65% ROI)
• Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 56% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 4-4 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -18.07% ROI).

• 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 9.7% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -5.06% ROI
• 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -4.02% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 20.81% ROI).

• 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 42.54% ROI
• 1-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -64.52% ROI
• 6-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 60.48% ROI

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (743/976) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman had a strikeout rate of 31% (237/763) in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .124 (52-for-420) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 95th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (63/345) against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (43/243) against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .544 (117 Total Bases / 215 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .409 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (16/68) against Clarke Schmidt on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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