The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-150) on Thursday, April 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Marlins are 0-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 5-2 ATS.

Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 0-1, 6.76 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Runs Under in his last 15 away games (+15.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.65 Units / 50% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 73% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.05 Units / 121% ROI)
• Miles Mikolas has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.85 Units / 56% ROI)
• Miles Mikolas has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 5 games (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 66% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-7 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -100% ROI).

• 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -100% ROI
• 6-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 66.44% ROI
• 1-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -72.96% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 31.75% ROI).

• 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 6.43% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -14.77% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 10.69% ROI

Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (8/22) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total CH; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of 75% (24/32) in two strike counts this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: .309 — sixth Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 53% (10/19) when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fifth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Lance Lynn had an ERA of 5.64 (183.2 IP)in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.84 — fourth Percentile.

17 of Lance Lynn’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 95th Percentile.

Lance Lynn allowed an OBP of .328 (807 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 11th Percentile.

Lance Lynn allowed a slugging percentage of .484 (353 Total Bases / 729 ABs) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — fourth Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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