The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Twins are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 3-0 ATS.

Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-0, 0.00 ERA

• Brewers starting pitcher: Jakob Junis 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.25 Units / 44% ROI)
• Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 47% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.84 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 56.67% ROI).

• 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 21.92% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 53.1% ROI).

• 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 108.2% ROI
• 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI
• 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.47% ROI

Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Louie Varland has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Shelby Miller has the longest active streak at 23.0.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (37/194) versus Louie Varland in the 2023 season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.

Louie Varland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (151/206) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

22 of Jakob Junis’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the 2022 season — 2nd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .435 (30-for-69) against Jakob Junis on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .275 — first Percentile.

Jakob Junis allowed a slugging percentage of 1.100 (33 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .566 — first Percentile.

Jakob Junis threw his slider 60% of the time (141/235) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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