The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimo re, MD.

This season, the Royals are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 3-1 ATS.

Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 0-0, 0.00 ERA

• Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
• Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 44% ROI)
• Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.25 Units / 59% ROI)
• James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.59 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -58.06% ROI).

• 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -50% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.35% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 62.5% ROI).

• 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 24.81% ROI
• 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 40% ROI
• 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -53.49% ROI

Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh allowed a slugging percentage of .861 (118 Total Bases / 137 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .544 — 0 Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .968 (164 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .688 — fourth Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .893 (342 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .685 — first Percentile.

Alec Marsh allowed a slugging percentage of .861 (118 Total Bases / 137 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .538 — first Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (68/367) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 69% (780/1,136) in two strike counts since the 2022 season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 93rd Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 68% (2,637/3,883) since the 2022 season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (22/131) against Cole Irvin on changeups in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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