Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2
Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Reds are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 1-3 ATS.

Reds vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Reds vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Hunter Greene has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.45 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.65 Units / 121% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 156 games (+19.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 7.61% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 24.37% ROI
  • 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -55.96% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -49.44% ROI
  • 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Phillies vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Stephenson 0.5 +950 0.5 -2000
India 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400
Harper 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
De La Cruz 0.5 +825 0.5 -1400
T. Realmuto 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Phillies vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Stephenson 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
India 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Harper 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
De La Cruz 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
T. Realmuto 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Phillies vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Stephenson 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
India 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
Harper 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
De La Cruz 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
T. Realmuto 0.5 +135 0.5 -185

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.33 (89.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 3.94 — 0 Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (1,372/1,953) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .303 (156-for-515) against Graham Ashcraft since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OPS of .865 (579 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .713 — third Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Turnbull has limited playing time.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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