The Toronto Blue Jays (+130) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-155) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Blue Jays are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 1-4 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-0, 3.00 ERA

• Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 0-0, 5.79 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+19.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.15 Units / 43% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -35.67% ROI).

• 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -14.29% ROI
• 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 50.89% ROI
• 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -62.04% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 1-4 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -52% ROI).

• 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -62.96% ROI
• 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -42.98% ROI
• 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 36.79% ROI

Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 47% (29/61) against Jose Berrios in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

46% of Jose Berrios’ called strikeouts were inside in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents batted just .139 (52-for-374) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 91st Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (765/1,611) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (566/925) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (1,046/1,451) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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