The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Guardians are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-4 ATS.

Guardians vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber 1-0, 0.00 ERA

• Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-1, 6.76 ERA

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+9.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 37% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 9.3% ROI
• 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 53.21% ROI
• 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -62.5% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -53.1% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 6.06% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -22.73% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 15.45% ROI

Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Bieber located his fastball away 64% of the time (436/686) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 59% of the time (996/1,676) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (184/315) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Shane Bieber has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 14 innings — Ian Hamilton has the longest active streak at 16.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Castillo threw fastballs 68% of the time (984/1,445) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of 47% (27/57) against Luis Castillo in late innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo threw fastballs 62% of the time (1,996/3,207) in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 56% of the time (1,700/3,045) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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