Cardinals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2
Cardinals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 2

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Cardinals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 3-4 ATS.

Cardinals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-1, 11.26 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 0-0, 1.04 ERA

Cardinals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+19.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 15.87% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 1% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 18.69% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -20.35% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.03 Units / -0.42% ROI).

  • 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.21 Units / -14.07% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.87 Units / 48.8% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -59.06% ROI

Padres vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Arenado 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Gorman 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Winn 0.5 +1300 0.5 -3000
Contreras 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Goldschmidt 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Padres vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Arenado 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Gorman 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Winn 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Contreras 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Goldschmidt 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Padres vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Arenado 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Gorman 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Winn 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Contreras 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Goldschmidt 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Padres vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mikolas 3.5 -130 3.5 +100

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .359 (142 Total Bases / 396 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yu Darvish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 14th, 2023 — Steven Matz has the longest active streak at 8.

Yu Darvish has thrown inside pitches 35% of the time (472/1,365) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 87th Percentile.

Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .230 (391 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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