The Atlanta Braves (-300) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+240) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Braves are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 3-0 ATS.
Braves vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 away games (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.34 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 55% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 13.41% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 75% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 28.57% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 46% of the time (664/1,432) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (418/1,317) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 43% of the time (1,227/2,842) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 53% of the time (354/672) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen allowed an OPS of 1.025 (256 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .345 (80-for-232) against Chris Flexen in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen allowed a slugging percentage of .716 (116 Total Bases / 162 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .456 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted .389 (63-for-162) against Chris Flexen’s fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — second Percentile.