Twins vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21
Twins vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21

The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-160) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach, FL.

This season, the Twins are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 0-1 ATS.

Twins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Over in his last away game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Drew Millas has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 away games (+11.39 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 156 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.42 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 98.04% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.18 Units / -100% ROI

Cole Sands has limited playing time.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Williams had a strike rate of just 51% (254/498) on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 34% (168/498) against Trevor Williams on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Hitters swung at 35% of Trevor Williams’ breaking pitches (232/660) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — first Percentile.

Trevor Williams threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (335/660) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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