Mets vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21
Mets vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21

The New York Mets (+120) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakel and, FL.

This season, the Mets are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 1-0 ATS.

Mets vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Zack Short has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 54.05% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 67.57% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.42 Units / 142% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI

Dominic Hamel is making his MLB debut today.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Manning allowed a BABIP of .216 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (21/140) versus Matt Manning on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 22% (114/514) against Matt Manning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (20/131) versus Matt Manning on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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