Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21
Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 21

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit LECOM Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Bradenton, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 0-1 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Runs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Spencer Horwitz has hit the Runs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+1.95 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last game at home (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Pirates are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI

Ricky Tiedemann is making his MLB debut today.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Falter located 44% of his pitches inside (572/1,296) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (120/656) against Bailey Falter in the 2023 season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Bailey Falter located 49% of his pitches inside (504/1,037) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has an average spin rate of 2049.1 RPM on curveballs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2529.5 — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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