The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Peoria, AZ.

This season, the Reds are 5-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-6 ATS.

Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s matchup with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.85 Units / 76% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Harrison Bader has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• Nick Senzel has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Emerson Hancock has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Reds are 6-9 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -28.89% ROI).

• 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.47 Units / -19.14% ROI
• 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -6.04% ROI
• 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.88 Units / -5.36% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 8-6 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 8.25% ROI).

• 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.66 Units / -21.02% ROI
• 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.51 Units / 35.34% ROI
• 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -45.36% ROI

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (169/311) against Nick Martinez in the 2023 season — 8th highest among in NL; League Avg: 45% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

63% of Nick Martinez strikeouts were located out of the zone in the 2023 season — 10th highest among in NL; League Avg: 51% — 88th Percentile.

Nick Martinez struck out 20 batters on three pitches in the 2023 season — tied for 6th most among in NL — 95th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller had a strike rate of 71% (460/648) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .234 (282 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 67% of Bryce Miller’s pitches (431/648) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.

Bryce Miller threw fastballs 66% of the time (247/377) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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