The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit Ed Smith Stadium to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-145) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Sarasota, FL.
This season, the Phillies are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-6 ATS.
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 away games (+2.25 Units / 112% ROI)
- Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+4.70 Units / 100% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.75 Units / 79% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Phillies are 12-6 against the Run Line (+4.64 Units / 19.4% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -29.53% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.46 Units / 22.27% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Orioles are 11-6 against the Run Line (+4.24 Units / 20.01% ROI).
- 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.37 Units / 58.23% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.41 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.82 Units / -9.64% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 61% (1,722/2,837) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 58% (457/788) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Hitters chased just 55 of Taijuan Walker’s 314 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 17%) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (107/611) against Taijuan Walker in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (141/518) versus Dean Kremer in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
68% of Dean Kremer’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.