The Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Pirates are 8-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 6-12 ATS.
Pirates vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 56.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Delay has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games at home (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Pirates are 9-11 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -10.93% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.07 Units / -17.8% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 10.37% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.97 Units / -18.11% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 6-12 against the Run Line (-8.06 Units / -36.57% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.34 Units / -35.19% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 6.87% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -14.76% ROI
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.6 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has an average spin rate of 2145.7 RPM on curveballs since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2529.5 — 10th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales’ lowest spin rate on changeups since the 2022 season is 1659.0 RPM — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 1200.5
Marco Gonzales has averaged 79.5 MPH on changeups since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.3 — third Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luke Weaver allowed a slugging percentage of .590 (161 Total Bases / 273 ABs) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .419 — first Percentile.
Luke Weaver allowed a slugging percentage of .601 (92 Total Bases / 153 ABs) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.
Luke Weaver allowed an OPS of .969 (166 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .676 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .319 (87-for-273) against Luke Weaver in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — fourth Percentile.